﻿{"id":3913,"date":"2024-06-18T11:33:31","date_gmt":"2024-06-18T10:33:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.graphene-investments.com\/?p=3913\/"},"modified":"2024-06-18T11:40:03","modified_gmt":"2024-06-18T10:40:03","slug":"washington-we-have-a-problem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.graphene-investments.com\/en\/washington-we-have-a-problem\/","title":{"rendered":"Washington, we have a problem&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Given the trends that had been lasting for years, it had to happen sooner or later: the S&amp;P 500 index now includes three companies with weights above (or very close to) 7%, and its top eight constituents together represent 35% of total. This is possibly the biggest threat on active management.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The evolution of the US market&#8217;s broad index as a result of market cap variations will soon pose a serious problem to portfolio managers. In UCITS funds, it is already impossible to reach a significant overweight on Apple, Microsoft or Nvidia without breaking the 5\/10\/40 rule.<\/p>\n<p>However, there is something going on, that we see as an even more serious issue: with some of these megacaps living their own life in a way relatively disconnected from their fundamentals, as their deep cash pockets or their notoriety can offset many adverse developments, even active managers can&#8217;t afford ignoring them completely. Even if you find it unattractive, not holding a 7% constituent of your benchmark at all is a big risk, but mitigating that risk means allocating 4 or 5% of the assets to that undesired position. And if you happen to be positive on the stock, just reaching the point where the overweight stance will start takes a huge toll on your assets, to the detriment of the portfolio&#8217;s active share. In other words, the distorted structure of the index reduces active managers&#8217; ability to do their job and maintain an active exposure as high as they would normally do. Ours actually declined from 82% a few years ago to about 74% now.<\/p>\n<p><strong>There doesn&#8217;t seem to be many options for S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices to resolve this issue, which already effected narrower indices with a few dominant companies, but remains unprecedented in the world&#8217;s largest economy. Regulators may unwittingly contribute, if they keep digging into the Magnificent Seven&#8217;s alleged anticompetitive practices, and eventually go as far as breaking some of them up. This however remains a remote perspective, and for the moment, active portfolio managers will keep operating under constraints.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>HG \u2013 June 18, 2024<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Given the trends that had been lasting for years, it had to happen sooner or later: the S&amp;P 500 index now includes three companies with weights above (or very close to) 7%, and its top eight constituents together represent 35% of total. This is possibly the biggest threat on active management. The evolution of the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2624,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[104],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3913","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-facts_figures"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Washington, we have a problem... - Graphene Investments<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Washington, we have a problem... - Graphene Investments\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Given the trends that had been lasting for years, it had to happen sooner or later: the S&amp;P 500 index now includes three companies with weights above (or very close to) 7%, and its top eight constituents together represent 35% of total. 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